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⚡TeslaHigh significancePRM-00001
Full Self-Driving
In Progress
Original Promise
“I think we will be 'feature-complete' on full self-driving this year.”
Promised: February 19, 2019Original deadline: December 31, 2019Current deadline: June 30, 2026
Promise Timeline
Total delay: +6y 6moPromised
Feb 19, 2019
Revision 1
Apr 22, 2019
+1y
✕
Original deadline
Dec 31, 2019
Revision 2
Dec 2, 2020
+2y
✕
Revised deadline
Dec 2020
✕
Revised deadline
Dec 2021
Revision 3
Jan 26, 2022
+3y
✕
Revised deadline
Dec 2022
Revision 4
Apr 19, 2023
+5y
Revision 5
Oct 10, 2024
+6y 6mo
✕
Revised deadline
Dec 2024
✕
Revised deadline
Jun 2026
Revision History (5)
Revision 1Apr 22, 2019Interview
+1y total delay“A year from now, we'll have over a million cars with full self-driving, feature complete.”
Tesla Autonomy Day investor presentation
Revision 2Dec 2, 2020Interview
+2y total delay“I'm extremely confident that Tesla will have full autonomy — Level 5 — next year.”
2020 target clearly missed, pushed again during award interview
Revision 3Jan 26, 2022Earnings Call
+3y total delay“I would be shocked if we do not achieve full self-driving safer than a human this year.”
Annual earnings call, another year, another deadline
Revision 4Apr 19, 2023Earnings Call
+5y total delay“I think there is a good chance we get to full self-driving by the end of this year... or next year at the latest.”
Hedged with 'or next year', effectively extending two years
Revision 5Oct 10, 2024X Post
+6y 6mo total delay“Tesla Robotaxi will be operational in California and Texas by June 2025. No, I mean June 2026.”
We, Robot event; initially said 2025, corrected himself to 2026 during the same presentation
Related Claims
autonomyFSDrobotaxiLevel 5